History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (2024)

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James Faris

2024-03-13T17:36:23Z

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (1)

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  • Investors gravitate toward the same stocks to their detriment, a new report indicates.
  • Companies that Wall Street analysts disagree about tend to outperform over time.
  • Here are 30 stocks that analysts are split about right now, according to UBS.

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (2)

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History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (4)

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There's an old saying that remains relevant to investors: If we all think alike, no one is thinking.

Groupthink is prevalent everywhere, including on Wall Street. With the exception of a few outspoken contrarians, investors tend to ride the stock market's momentum instead of going against the grain since missing a massive rally can be costly — especially for fund managers.

However, picking the same stocks as everyone else can hinder outperformance.

Stocks that equity analysts agree either have a bright or dismal future have historically lagged behind those that the Street is split on, according to a mid-March report from UBS.

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The firm found that companies with a higher so-called ratings dispersion from analysts have beaten those with low dispersions by 1.6% a year since the end of 2010. High-dispersion stocks have outperformed their low-dispersion peers 74% of the time in that span, UBS noted.

For reference, high-ratings-dispersion stocks' returns are better than high growth over low growth and high momentum over low momentum. Even still, this strategy is usually overlooked.

Within this high-dispersion strategy, companies tied to technology or adjacent sectors tend to perform best, according to UBS. Another reason to consider this method is that it has a low correlation to other stocks, which is a risk-management plus.

30 stocks that Wall Street is split on

Since analyst alignment can be a bad omen for companies, it follows that investors should look for firms that can spark debates among those who follow them.

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Below are 30 stocks with the highest dispersion in ratings from analysts, sorted alphabetically by sector and within their sector, if applicable. Along with each name is its ticker, market capitalization, and sector. Note that UBS doesn't necessarily recommend these companies.

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1. Electronic Arts

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (5)

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Ticker: EA

Market cap: $36.6B

Sector: Communication Services

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2. Paramount Global

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (6)

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Ticker: PARA

Market cap: $8.1B

Sector: Communication Services

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3. Verizon Communications

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (7)

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Ticker: VZ

Market cap: $169.4B

Sector: Communication Services

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5. CarMax

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (9)

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Ticker: KMX

Market cap: $13.1B

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

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6. Carnival

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (10)

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Ticker: CCL

Market cap: $21B

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

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7. Ford Motor

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (11)

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Ticker: F

Market cap: $49.4B

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

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8. Lululemon Athletica

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (12)

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Ticker: LULU

Market cap: $56.8B

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

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9. Pool

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (13)

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Ticker: POOL

Market cap: $15.5B

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

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10. Tesla

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (14)

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Ticker: TSLA

Market cap: $538.8B

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

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11. APA Corp.

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (15)

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Ticker: APA

Market cap: $9.8B

Sector: Energy

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12. EQT Corp.

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (16)

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Ticker: EQT

Market cap: $15.1B

Sector: Energy

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13. American Express

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (17)

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Ticker: AXP

Market cap: $161.4B

Sector: Financials

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14. Ameriprise Financial

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (18)

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Ticker: AMP

Market cap: $41.6B

Sector: Financials

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15. CME Group

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (19)

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Ticker: CME

Market cap: $78.6B

Sector: Financials

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16. Comerica

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (20)

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Ticker: CMA

Market cap: $6.9B

Sector: Financials

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17. Northern Trust

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (21)

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Ticker: NTRS

Market cap: $16.8B

Sector: Financials

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18. PNC Financial Services

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (22)

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Ticker: PNC

Market cap: $60.9B

Sector: Financials

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19. Align Technology

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (23)

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Ticker: ALGN

Market cap: $24B

Sector: Healthcare

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20. Amgen

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (24)

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Ticker: AMGN

Market cap: $148.3B

Sector: Healthcare

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21. Edwards Lifesciences

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (25)

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Ticker: EW

Market cap: $55.5B

Sector: Healthcare

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22. Illumina

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (26)

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Ticker: ILMN

Market cap: $21.1B

Sector: Healthcare

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23. Steris

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (27)

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Ticker: STE

Market cap: $23B

Sector: Healthcare

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24. Vertex Pharmaceuticals

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (28)

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Ticker: VRTX

Market cap: $107B

Sector: Healthcare

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25. Carrier Global

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (29)

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Ticker: CARR

Market cap: $52.6B

Sector: Industrials

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26. Caterpillar

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (30)

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Ticker: CAT

Market cap: $170.9B

Sector: Industrials

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27. Generac

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (31)

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Ticker: GNRC

Market cap: $7B

Sector: Industrials

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28. Old Dominion Freight Line

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (32)

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Ticker: ODFL

Market cap: $47.8B

Sector: Industrials

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29. Rockwell Automation

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (33)

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Ticker: ROK

Market cap: $32.9B

Sector: Industrials

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30. United Rentals

History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (34)

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Ticker: URI

Market cap: $45.5B

Sector: Industrials

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History says these 30 controversial stocks are likely to outperform, according to UBS (2024)
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