Good News For Home Owners: Thanks To Brexit, Mortgage Rates Hit 3-Year Low (2024)

Good News For Home Owners: Thanks To Brexit, Mortgage Rates Hit 3-Year Low (1)

On Thursday June 23rd, 2016, Britain voted to trek into the political unknown and leave the European Union. As is typical whenever something major happens on a global scale, all hell broke loose. England's prime minister quit and stocks around the world dropped at a rapid rate.

And here in the US, us Realtors sat, watched and waited for the ripples to emerge in the real estate and mortgage industries.

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You see, in real estate, money talks, and one of the biggest effects of Brexit and the plummet of the global stock markets is that mortgage rates would be soon to follow. And follow they did.

The money gods have spoken and according to Freddie Mac's Chief Economist Sean Becketti, "this week's survey rate is the lowest since May 2013 and only 17 basis points above the all-time low recorded in November 2012."

So what does that mean for American Homeowners and Homeowner-hopefuls?

For the typical home seller, the following two categories comprise the majority of the buyers currently in the market:

  • Serious, and in a hurry
  • Serious, and not in a hurry

The serious buyer is pre-approved and working with an agent. If they are in a hurry, that means that they need to find a home quickly and are motivated to make purchase. If they are not in a hurry, this might be your first-time homebuyer looking to proceed with caution and wait for their dream home. They are able and willing to buy but maybe not ready.

This is also the buyer who wants and needs to buy, but may be concerned because of the appreciating home prices.

Let me explain- over the past year, we have seen that there are not enough homes on the market to support the high demand of these types of buyers. This low inventory of homes has resulted in a steady 5% increase year over year in home prices according to Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate.

Although interest rates have been fairly low, for some serious buyers, this has caused an affordability issue when it comes homeownership resulting in many serious buyers who are just not in a hurry to buy.

With the new changes caused by Brexit, we may be seeing a shift in buyer motivation for this group.

Thanks to Brexit, Homebuyers Are Motivated By Historically Low Rates

With rates at historic lows, the lowest they've been in 3 years, buyers that may have been on the fence about making a purchase because of the higher prices, will likely now be more eager to lock in these rates. This is because despite the higher prices, taking advantage of a lower rate can mean a lower and more affordable monthly payment and saves money in the long run over the course of the loan itself.

There may also be an influx of new buyers to the market looking to take advantage of the drop, making it an excellent time to get your home on the market.

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The other benefit to homeowners is that now could be a great time to refinance.

"Obviously it's a good time for anyone who is the market for a home purchase or had been on the proverbial fence about refinancing," Hamrick noted and I would have to agree.

• • •

Curious about selling your home? Grab the insider secrets your real estate agent doesn’t want you to know on how to get your home sold fast for more money HERE.

Interested in buying but don’t know where to start? Grab my first time homebuyers quick guide HERE!

• • •

For more, visit Medium publication #RealEstateLoveNotes. Monica is an entrepreneur and business consultant turned Realtor® who is passionate about helping women create multi-generational wealth by investing in themselves and investing in real estate. She writes & speaks on the intersections of la cultura, wealth-building and real estate and has been featured on a variety of media platforms including Real Estate Game Changers Radio, Realtor.com and She’s Trending.

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Good News For Home Owners: Thanks To Brexit, Mortgage Rates Hit 3-Year Low (2024)

FAQs

What is the mortgage rate forecast for 2024? ›

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.4% to 6.7% range throughout the rest of 2024, and Fannie Mae is forecasting the same. NAR believes rates will average 7.1% this quarter and fall to 6.5% by the end of 2024.

What will mortgage interest rates be in 2025? ›

By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%. ResiClub takes all forecasts with a grain of salt.

Will mortgage rates go down in 2027? ›

Overview: Predictions for 30-year mortgage rates in 2027 reveal a consistent downward trajectory, commencing at 5.67%-6.03% in January. Monthly reductions are expected, culminating in a year-end rate of 4.84%, showcasing a substantial overall decline from the initial point.

Are mortgage rates going up or down? ›

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025. Here's where mortgage interest rates are headed for the rest of the year and how that will impact the housing market as a whole.

How low are mortgage rates expected to go in 2025? ›

Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

After all, higher rates equate to higher minimum payments. So, you may be wondering if, and when, mortgage rates might fall to 3% or lower again - and whether or not it's worth waiting to buy a home until they do. Although rates could fall to 3% again one day, it's not likely to happen any time soon.

Will mortgage rates drop in the next 5 years? ›

Instead, we'll probably see some gradual 25-basis-point cuts here and there. If that happens, rates could still fall to closer to 6% by the end of 2024. Channel expects rates to remain high compared to the levels seen during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, when average 30-year mortgage rates were around 2.65%.

What will the mortgage rate be in 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

What are interest rate predictions for the next 5 years? ›

Projected Interest Rates in the Next Five Years

Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%. The University of Michigan inflation expectations in the US for the five-year outlook were revised slightly higher to 3% in August 2023.

What will the 30 year mortgage rate be in 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Friday is 6.91%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

How much will my house be worth in 2030? ›

The state where house prices are predicted to be the highest by 2030 is California, where the average home could top $1 million if prices continue to grow at their current rate.

What is the lowest mortgage rate in history? ›

The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

Should I lock my interest rate today? ›

Once you find a rate that is an ideal fit for your budget, lock in the rate as soon as possible. There is no way to predict with certainty whether a rate will go up or down in the weeks or even months it sometimes takes to close your loan.

Are mortgage rates expected to drop in 2024? ›

The general consensus among industry professionals is that mortgage rates will slowly decline in the last quarter of 2024. The projected declines have shrunk, though, in recent months. At the start of the year, for instance, Fannie Mae predicted rates would drop to 5.8%.

Will interest rates still be high in 2024? ›

Fed Blames 'Lack of Progress' on Inflation. You'll likely pay more to borrow until at least 2025, but now may be the time to lock in higher savings rates.

Will interest rates be higher or lower in 2024? ›

Consumers will be stuck staring at higher interest rates for longer, very likely well into the summer, now that the Fed took yet another pass on cutting interest rates in 2024.

What is the mortgage interest rate forecast for 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

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