Foreign exchange forecasters at ING expect that the US Dollar can maintain a firm tone in the short term. It does, however, expect notable deterioration over the second half of the year which will trigger rate cuts. The bank expects that yield spreads will move against the US Dollar with the Bank of England resisting any rate cuts. The bank expects that the Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate will strengthen to 1.33 at the end of 2023. For reference, GBPUSD is priced at 1.24453, so this would mark a 6.86% rise compared to today's exchange rate. ING considers that the dollar could hold a firm tone in the short term, especially with the Fed maintaining a hawkish tone, but it questions whether this stance is sustainable. According to ING; We argue that the sustainability of this kind of dollar trend strongly relies on hard data confirming price pressure remain elevated and the US economic outlook stable.” It adds; “This may be a story for the near-term, where the dollar can still find some support, but we see the second half of the year as the period where evidence of sharply slowing US economic activity will force large cuts by the Fed and cause a rapid dollar depreciation.” ING adds; “Our team forecasts that they are enough to curtail the tightening cycle and prompt 100bp of easing in the fourth quarter.” READ MORE: Pound To Dollar Exchange Rate Tipped For Possible Drop To $1.2300, Say UoB ING is still cautious over the Pound outlook, especially as it considers that market expectations surrounding Bank of England interest rates are too high. Overall, ING expects that BoE rates have peaked at 4.50% and an eventual reassessment of BoE expectations will be an important headwind for the Pound
US Economy to Deteriorate
Yield Spreads will Underpin Pound Dollar (GBP/USD) Exchange Rate
FAQs
What is the Pound to dollar forecast for 2024? ›
GBP/USD is forecast to reach 1.22 in June 2024 and September 2024, 1.25 in December 2024 and 1.29 in March 2025. EUR/USD is predicted to reach 1.05 in June 2024 and September 2024, 1.09 in December 2024 and 1.12 in March 2025.
What is the Pound to dollar exchange rate forecast? ›Pound to Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: "Further GBP Weakness in Coming Weeks" Foreign exchange strategists at HSBC forecast the Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate to slide back below 1.24 in the near-term outlook.
What is the Pound to dollar forecast for 2025? ›Main takeaways: GBP USD Forecast 2024-2030
A downward trend to 1.236 was predicted (WalletInvestor). 2025 price predictions (as for February 26, 2024): Range of 1.199 to 1.464 expected (volatile year per LongForecast).
Will Indian Rupee get stronger against US Dollar in 2024? Indian Rupee is expected to rise by 1.59% against the US Dollar by the end of 2024, as the USD/INR rate is expected to reach ₹ 84.69.
Will the Pound get weaker in 2024? ›According to the latest British pound price predictions, the GBP will more likely fall against the US dollar in the first part of 2024 and raise toward 1.30 in the second half of the year.
What is the Pound price prediction for 2025? ›Marlin price prediction 2025: Marlin's price for 2025 according to our analysis should range between $0.019 to $0.028 and the average price of POND should be around $0.023.
What is the future rate of Pound? ›For today i.e. May 02nd, Thu 2024, 1 British Pound is equal to 104.639 Indian Rupees. Today's expected low - high GBP to INR forecast rates is INR 104.6099 - 104.8175. respectively. Change in GBP to INR rate from previous day is +0.03%.
How strong is the Pound against the Dollar today? ›| Today's Price: | 1.24856 |
|---|---|
| Percent Change Five Day: | +0.24% |
| One Month Exchange Rate Comparison | |
| Average Exchange Rate of the Past 20 Days: | 1.25053 |
| Price Change Twenty Day: | -0.01593 |
| Live Market Rate | 1.2486 |
|---|---|
| Fee | 0 |
| Recipient gets | 1.2486 |
| Set Alert | |
British Pound (GBP)
The British pound is the fifth-strongest currency in the world, with 1 pound buying 1.22 dollars (or $1 equals 0.82 British pound). Britain's economy is the world's sixth largest by gross domestic product (GDP), according to the World Bank.
What is the 5 year forecast for USD TRY? ›
Gov Capital forecasts the Turkish Lira to trade as high as 40.00 TRY per USD this year. On a 5-year Turkish Lira price prediction, the agency is forecasting USD/TRY to trade between 95.00 and 100.00.
What is the long term USD to GBP forecast? ›British Pound Sterling is expected to rise by 2.58% against the US Dollar by the end of 2024, as the USD/GBP rate is expected to reach £ 0.829535.
What are predicted rates for 2024? ›Overall, forecasters predict mortgage rates to continue easing, but not as much as previously thought. While McBride had expected mortgage rates to fall to 5.75 percent by late 2024, the new economic reality means they're likely to hover in the range of 6.25 percent to 6.4 percent by the end of the year, he says.
Which currency will be stronger in 2024? ›Kuwaiti dinar (KWD) is considered the strongest currency in the world in 2024.
What will cash rate be in 2024? ›At its February 2024 meeting, the Reserve Bank Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent. This decision supports progress of inflation to the midpoint of the 2–3 per cent target range within a reasonable timeframe and continued moderate growth in employment.
Will USD weaken 2024? ›We expect 2024 to be a year of diverging trends for the dollar. It will likely move lower on a broad trade-weighted basis early in the year but stabilize as the year progresses. Although we expect a general downward drift for the dollar, performance of individual currencies will likely vary widely.
What is the long term forecast for the Pound? ›US Dollar is expected to rise by 1.12% against the British Pound Sterling by the end of 2024, as the GBP/USD rate is expected to reach $ 1.265052.