Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (2024)

Bitcoin (BTC) has been gradually moving up during the weekend, indicating continued demand from the bulls. Data shared by Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart on Jan. 26 shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) assets under management crossed the $2 billion mark.

Solid buying at lower levels arrested the decline in Bitcoin, but a new bull market is unlikely to start in a hurry. Bitcoin may consolidate its gains as traders focus on the inflows into the newly launched Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and wait for the Bitcoin halving in April.

If Bitcoin enters a range, it will be a positive sign as it shows that traders are not hurrying to book profits because they anticipate the uptrend to continue. That may also be good news for select altcoins, which may attract investors’ interest and resume their up move.

Bitcoin’s recovery has pulled select altcoins higher. Let’s look at the charts of the top 5 cryptocurrencies that may outperform in the near term.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin rose above the 20-day exponential moving average ($41,959) on Jan. 27, indicating that the selling pressure is reducing.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (1)

Both moving averages have flattened out, and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. The BTC/USDT pair may swing between $44,700 and $37,980 for some time.

A break and close above $44,700 will be the first indication that the buyers are back in the driver’s seat. That may propel the price to the local high of $48,970. On the downside, a slide below $37,980 could start a deeper correction toward $34,800.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (2)

The moving averages have completed a bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart, and the RSI is near the overbought zone, indicating that the bulls are on a comeback. The rally could reach $43,500 and then $44,700.

On the downside, the moving averages will likely act as a strong support. A break below the 50-simple moving average could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears. The pair may then slump to $39,500 and later to $37,980.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) climbed above the moving averages on Jan. 27 and is trying to sustain above the downtrend line on Jan. 28.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (3)

The 20-day EMA ($93) has flattened out, and the RSI is just above the midpoint, indicating equilibrium between buyers and sellers. If the price maintains above the downtrend line, the SOL/USDT pair could attempt a rally to $107 and then to $117.

If the bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to quickly pull the price back below the moving averages. That may trap the aggressive bulls, opening the doors for a retest of the support at $79.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (4)

The pair has risen above the downtrend line, invalidating the bearish descending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. This is a positive sign as the bulls waiting on the sidelines enter on the failure of the setup, and the bears rush to the exit.

If buyers hold the price above the downtrend line, the pair is likely to ascend toward $107 and later to $117. This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below $85.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) has been trading inside a descending channel pattern for several days. Buyers purchased the dip to the support line on Jan. 23 and pushed the price above the 20-day EMA ($34) on Jan. 28.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (5)

Sellers will try to halt the recovery at the downtrend line. If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, it will suggest that the bears remain active at higher levels. The AVAX/USDT pair may then spend some more time inside the channel.

Instead, if the price pierces the overhead resistance, it will signal aggressive buying by the bulls. The pair may pick up momentum and rally to $44 and subsequently to the psychologically important level of $50.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (6)

The 20-EMA has started to turn up, and the RSI is near the overbought zone, indicating solid buying by the bulls. Sellers have successfully defended the downtrend line on three previous occasions; hence, they will try to do that again.

If the price turns down from the downtrend line but rebounds off the 20-EMA, it will suggest that traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. That will enhance the prospects of a rally above the channel. If that happens, the pair may start a move to $44.

On the contrary, if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that bears are fiercely selling at higher levels. The pair may then remain inside the channel for a while longer.

Related: Bitcoin ETF ads may appear on Google starting Monday, community speculates

Render price analysis

After the initial pullback, Render (RNDR) has been consolidating between $3.56 and $4.40 for the past few days.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (7)

Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is just above the midpoint, indicating a balance between the bulls and the bears. If the price turns down from $4.40 and breaks below the 20-day EMA ($4), the RNDR/USDT pair may extend its range-bound action for a few more days.

Contrarily, if the price rises above $4.40, it will signal that the buyers have overpowered the sellers. The pair could then rally to $5.07 and eventually to $5.28. A break above this level will indicate the resumption of the uptrend.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (8)

The pair has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. The buyers are trying to gain the upper hand by pushing the price above the triangle. If they succeed, the pair may climb to $4.40 and thereafter to $4.71.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-EMA, it will indicate that the bears are vigorously defending the downtrend line. The pair may then descend toward the support line.

Sui price analysis

Sui (SUI) has been in an uptrend for the past several days, but the bears are trying to halt the rally at $1.50.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (9)

The SUI/USDT pair has formed a rounding bottom pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $1.50. If that happens, the bullish momentum could pick up, and the pair may rally toward $2. The pattern target of the positive setup is $2.64.

However, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will fiercely protect the $1.50 level and attempt to pull the price to the 20-day EMA ($1.18). If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with strength, the likelihood of a rally above $1.50 increases. On the other hand, a break below the 20-day EMA could open the doors for a decline to the 50-day SMA ($0.92).

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (10)

The 4-hour chart shows that the bulls are struggling to shove the price above the overhead resistance at $1.50. If the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-EMA, it could start a pullback to the 50-SMA.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the 20-EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and every minor dip is being bought. The pair may then overcome the obstacle at $1.50 and start the next leg of the uptrend.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin range consolidation sets the stage for SOL, AVAX RNDR and SUI (2024)

FAQs

What is the consolidation phase in crypto? ›

Consolidation Definition

In the context of cryptocurrency and blockchain, consolidation refers to a period of market indecisiveness, where the prices of a particular cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin or Ethereum move within a tight range for an extended period.

What is a halving event in Bitcoin? ›

What is the Bitcoin halving? Every four years, on the halving day, the amount of new Bitcoins created gets cut in half. This means that when Bitcoin halves, the reward given to the contributors securing the network is reduced by 50%, directly impacting the rate at which new Bitcoins are introduced into circulation.

How long does crypto consolidation last? ›

How Long Does Crypto Consolidation Last? In short, this question has no straight answer. The period of consolidation may last for days, weeks, or many months, and it's impossible to say when it will end or where the market will go next – upward or downward.

What are the three stages of cryptocurrency? ›

These three stages are placement, integration, and layering. The same concepts that apply to money laundering using cash apply to money laundering using cryptocurrencies. The first stage of the cryptocurrency money laundering stage is the placement stage.

What will happen after Bitcoin halving in 2024? ›

After the halving, the rate of issuance of new bitcoin as well as the rewards for successful bitcoin miners are cut in half. There can only be 21 million bitcoin, and fewer new tokens entering circulation could impact bitcoin prices. That's why the halving is watched closely by miners and investors alike.

Is Bitcoin halving bullish or bearish? ›

Bitcoin Halving Is Not Bullish

This expectation stems from the token's previous post-halving cycles which typically saw bitcoin race to new all-time highs. Thielen, though, contended that those bull moves were largely a result of the positive macro environment, and not driven by the halving itself.

Will Bitcoin go up after halving? ›

Typically, Bitcoin prices continue to surge for a good few months following a halving month, rising, on average, for seven months.

Is consolidation bullish or bearish? ›

Consolidation is neither positive nor negative on its own. Sometimes a consolidation period emerges after a healthy price movement. Traders, careful about possible overbought or oversold positions, may look to smooth out movements before another trend emerges.

What is the aim of the consolidation phase? ›

Consolidation is the phase in the industry life cycle where companies begin to merge or acquire each other, reducing the number of individual companies.

What happens during the consolidation process? ›

Consolidation processes consist of the assembly of smaller objects into a single product in order to achieve a desired geometry, structure, or property. These processes rely on the application of mechanical, chemical, or thermal energy to effect consolidation and achieve bonding between objects.

Should I consolidate my crypto? ›

Transaction fees can cost more than the value of a UTXO… This is why it's wise to take advantage of periods of low fees to consolidate several small UTXOs into one larger one to save on significant fees later on. Especially since it is certain that fees will increase as the number of users rises.

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