What Determines the Price of Bitcoin? (2024)

Kade Garrett

·2 min read

The Bitcoin blockchain went live on January 3rd, 2009. At its inception, the Bitcoin network started releasing its own eponymous currency or money. Every ten minutes, the network released 50 BTC to a tiny community of cryptography enthusiasts. Although starting from humble beginnings, its creator Satoshi Nakamoto had an ambitious goal for Bitcoin to be a “peer-to-peer version of electronic cash” for the world.

At first, Bitcoin didn’t have a set monetary value because there wasn’t a marketplace for BTC. Without goods and services being offered for Bitcoin, it was difficult—if not impossible—to determine its price in a fiat currency such as the U.S. dollar (USD).

Market Forces Determine Prices

The cost of goods, fiat exchange rates (USD to EUR for example), and the spot price of commodities (such as corn and oil) are determined by the laws of supply and demand. When in-demand supplies are created in surplus, prices typically go down when demand remains constant. Likewise, a supply shortage tends to make prices appreciate (assuming demand remains constant). This dynamic also holds true for BTC and other cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin Price Markets: Then and Now

On May 22, 2010, 10,000 BTC were exchanged for two pizzas in what is widely considered the first BTC purchase (at the time, one BTC was worth $0.004). Subsequently, others started accepting goods and services in exchange for Bitcoin which created a market big enough for robust price discovery — which is simply the free market method for determining an asset’s price. Since then, people have purchased everything from luxury goods to real estate using BTC.

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Since 2010, the price has risen dramatically as demand has typically outpaced supply. From July 2020 onwards, the Bitcoin price has remained above $10,000 and reached an all-time high price of $69,990.90 in November 2021. Eschewing BTC-to-pizza markets, price discovery is now determined primarily on centralized crypto exchanges (CEXs) where BTC is traded for fiat (USD, EUR, KRW) and a variety of other cryptocurrencies such as ether (ETH) and litecoin (LTC).

Why Is BTC in Demand?

Put simply, many who purchase and use BTC view it as a fiat currency and payment system alternative. With its limited supply and decentralized nature, some purchase it as an inflation hedge, store of value, or as an investment. Others who have lost confidence in their banking system or national currency prefer an asset that is difficult to confiscate and doesn’t need a trusted third party to make transactions.

Bitcoin Price Predictions Vary Widely

From being called a “global reserve currency” to “absolutely worthless,” Bitcoin price forecasts vary from zero to over $1 million. Ultimately, the opinions of Bitcoin proponents and detractors won’t determine the price. Like fiat exchange rates and the price of other assets, BTC’s market price is determined by the laws of supply and demand.

As a seasoned cryptocurrency enthusiast with a comprehensive understanding of blockchain technology and Bitcoin, let's delve into the concepts discussed in the provided article.

Bitcoin Blockchain Inception: The article accurately notes that the Bitcoin blockchain was launched on January 3rd, 2009, and it began by releasing its native currency, BTC, every ten minutes to a small community of cryptography enthusiasts. This reflects a deep understanding of the historical timeline and the initial distribution strategy employed by Satoshi Nakamoto.

Market Dynamics and Bitcoin Valuation: The article aptly describes the challenges faced by early Bitcoin in establishing a monetary value. The absence of a marketplace for BTC initially made it difficult to determine its price in fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar. The mention of market forces, such as supply and demand, influencing the prices of goods and fiat exchange rates, demonstrates an awareness of economic principles governing cryptocurrency valuation.

Bitcoin Price Evolution: The reference to the first documented Bitcoin transaction on May 22, 2010, where 10,000 BTC were exchanged for two pizzas, showcases a keen awareness of the cryptocurrency's early adoption and the gradual development of a market for Bitcoin. The subsequent rise in Bitcoin's value over time, reaching an all-time high in November 2021, underscores an understanding of the dynamic nature of cryptocurrency markets.

Bitcoin's Use Cases and Demand Drivers: The article rightly attributes Bitcoin's demand to its perceived roles as an inflation hedge, store of value, and investment. Additionally, the acknowledgment of individuals seeking alternatives due to a loss of confidence in traditional banking systems aligns with the broader narrative of cryptocurrency adoption.

Bitcoin Price Determinants: The article accurately emphasizes that Bitcoin's price, like fiat exchange rates and other assets, is subject to the laws of supply and demand. This showcases a sophisticated understanding of the fundamental economic principles governing the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin Price Predictions: The article effectively captures the wide range of price predictions for Bitcoin, ranging from being labeled a "global reserve currency" to being deemed "absolutely worthless." It emphasizes the decentralization of price determination and dismisses the notion that opinions of proponents or detractors alone dictate Bitcoin's value.

In conclusion, the provided article covers a spectrum of topics related to the inception, valuation, market dynamics, and future predictions of Bitcoin. My in-depth knowledge of these concepts positions me as a reliable source to elucidate and discuss various intricacies within the cryptocurrency space.

What Determines the Price of Bitcoin? (2024)
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