Understanding bond yields | Desjardins (2024)

Many new investors are surprised to learn that a bond's price and yield, just like that of any other publicly-traded security, change on a daily basis. Strange for an investment with a fixed face value, interest rate and maturity, isn't it? That's because bonds can be sold before maturity in the open market, where the price can fluctuate.

Measuring return with yield

Yield is a figure that shows the return you get on a bond. The simplest version of yield is calculated by the following formula:

yield = coupon amount/price. When the price changes, so does the yield.

Here's an example: Let's say you buy a bond at its $1,000par value with a 10%coupon.

If you hold on to it, it's simple. The issuer pays you $100a year for 10years, and then pays you back the $1,000 on the scheduled date. The yield is therefore 10% ($100/$1000).

If, however, you decide to sell it on the market, you won't get $1,000. Why? Because bond prices change on a daily basis of prevailing interest rates.

If the price of the bond in the market is $800, it's selling under face value or at a discount. If the price of the bond in the market is $1,200, it's selling above face value, or at a premium.

Regardless of the market price of a bond, the coupon remains the same. In our example, the bond holder continues to receive $100a year.

What changes is the bond yield. If you sell it for $800, the yield will be 12.5% ($100/$800). If you sell it for $1,200, the yield will be 8.33% ($100/$1,200).

Yield to maturity

Of course, in real life, things tend to be more complicated. When bond investors refer to yield, they're usually referring to yield to maturity (YTM). YTM is the sum of:

  • all the interest payments you'll receive (and assumes that you'll reinvest the interest payment at the same rate as the current yield on the bond)
  • any gain (if you purchased at a discount) or loss (if you purchased at a premium)

YTM is a yield calculation that enables you to compare bonds with different maturities and coupons.

The link between price and yield

The yield's relationship with price can be summarized as follows: When price goes up, yield goes down and vice versa. Technically you'd say the bond's prices and its yield are inversely related.

Here's a main point of confusion. How can high yields and high prices both be good when they can't happen at the same time?

The answer depends on your point of view. If you're a bond buyer, you want high yields. A buyer wants to pay $800 for the $1,000 bond, which gives the bond a high yield of 12.5%. On the other hand, if you already own a bond, you've locked in your interest rate, so you hope the price of the bond goes up. This way you can cash out by selling your bond in the future.

The influence of interest rates

The face value, coupon, maturity, the issuer and yield are all factors that play a role in a bond's price.

However, the factor that influences a bond more than any other is the level of prevailing interest rates in the economy. When interest rates rise, the prices of bonds in the market fall , thereby raising the yield of the older bonds and bringing them into line with the newer bonds being issued with a higher coupon.

And, when interest rates fall, the prices of bonds in the market rise, thereby lowering the yield of the older bonds and bringing them into line with the newer bonds being issued with a lower coupon.

Tools and tips

How bonds work

When you buy a bond, you are lending money to a government or a company.

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Characteristics of bonds

Learn about face value, coupons and default risk.

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Types of bonds

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How to read a bond table

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Understanding bond yields | Desjardins (2024)

FAQs

How do you interpret bond yields? ›

Yield is a general term that relates to the return on the capital you invest in a bond. Price and yield are inversely related: As the price of a bond goes up, its yield goes down, and vice versa.

Is it better for bond yields to go up or down? ›

Bond prices move in inverse fashion to interest rates, reflecting an important bond investing consideration known as interest rate risk. If bond yields decline, the value of bonds already on the market move higher. If bond yields rise, existing bonds lose value.

What are bond yields for dummies? ›

A bond yield is the return an investor realizes on a bond. Put simply, a bond yield is the return on the capital invested by an investor. Bond yields are different from bond prices—both of which share an inverse relationship. The yield matches the bond's coupon rate when the bond is issued.

How do you calculate all in yield on a bond? ›

Bond yield is the return an investor will realize on a bond and can be calculated by dividing a bond's face value by the amount of interest it pays.

What does it mean if bond yields go up? ›

The 10-year yield is used as a proxy for mortgage rates and is also seen as a sign of investor sentiment about the economy. A rising yield indicates falling demand for Treasury bonds, which means investors prefer higher-risk, higher-reward investments, while falling yield suggests the opposite.

What does current yield tell you? ›

This measure examines the current price of a bond, rather than looking at its face value. Current yield represents the return an investor would expect to earn, if the owner purchased the bond and held it for a year.

Is yield the same as interest rate? ›

Yield is the annual net profit that an investor earns on an investment. The interest rate is the percentage charged by a lender for a loan.

Why are high yields on bonds bad? ›

While high-yield bonds do offer the potential for more gains compared to investment-grade bonds, they also carry a number of risks, like default risk, higher volatility, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk.

Do stocks go up when bond yields go down? ›

Yet interest rates are still a consideration for equity investors. Stock prices tended to track with bond yield trends over the course of 2023. When interest rates rose, stock prices retreated, and when rates fell, stocks reacted favorably.

How much is a $100 savings bond worth after 30 years? ›

How to get the most value from your savings bonds
Face ValuePurchase Amount30-Year Value (Purchased May 1990)
$50 Bond$100$207.36
$100 Bond$200$414.72
$500 Bond$400$1,036.80
$1,000 Bond$800$2,073.60

What happens to bond yields when interest rates rise? ›

When the Fed increases the federal funds rate, the price of existing fixed-rate bonds decreases and the yields on new fixed-rate bonds increases. The opposite happens when interest rates go down: existing fixed-rate bond prices go up and new fixed-rate bond yields decline.

Why do bond yields rise when interest rates rise? ›

Rising rates mean more income, which compounds over time, enabling bond holders to reinvest coupons at higher rates (more on this “bond math” below). Overall, higher rates offer the potential for greater income and total return in the future.

How do you interpret yield to maturity? ›

The yield to maturity (YTM) is an estimated rate of return. It assumes that the bond buyer will hold it until its maturity date and reinvest each interest payment at the same interest rate. Thus, yield to maturity includes the coupon rate within its calculation. YTM is also known as the redemption yield.

Is now a good time to buy bonds? ›

Short-term bond yields are high currently, but with the Federal Reserve poised to cut interest rates investors may want to consider longer-term bonds or bond funds. High-quality bond investments remain attractive.

What is the yield of a bond example? ›

If a bond with a $1,000 face value paying $50 in annual income is trading at $950 on the secondary market, its current yield would be 5.26% (50 ÷ 950 = 0.0526). What to know: Current yield is helpful when assessing a bond's cash flow against other bonds in the market.

Do lower bond yields mean higher stock prices? ›

Lower bond yields can lead to higher share prices

The more investors buy stocks, the higher share prices could rise.

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