RSI Indicator: Meaning & Calculation (2024)

Knowing what the relative strength index (RSI) is and knowing how to read an RSI chart are investor tools that can help both professional and retail investors anticipate reversals.

RSI Indicator: Meaning & Calculation (1)

What Is Relative Strength Index In Stocks?

The relative strength index (RSI) is a technical indicator that measures the momentum of a security based on its closing prices. Once calculated, the RSI is displayed as an oscillator, which is a line graph between two extreme values. In the case of RSI, those lower and upper boundaries are 0 and 100.

In stocks, the relative strength, or RS, is the ratio of higher closes to lower closes, and the RSI is the ratio of higher closes to overall closes. The RSI is typically based on a 14-day time frame with high values being 70 or above, and low values being 30 or below. Levels such as 80 or 20 indicate a stronger trend in upward or downward momentum, respectively.

RSI was first introduced by American technical analyst J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his 1978 book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Taking into account both an asset's price and its trading volume, investors use RSI to determine whether a stock is overbought or oversold:

  • Overbought: The price of an asset, such as a stock, is above its fair or intrinsic value and may be ready for a trend reversal to the downside; on an RSI chart an overbought security scores at 70 or above.
  • Oversold: The price of an asset, such as a stock, is below its fair or intrinsic value and may be ready for a trend reversal to the upside; on an RSI chart an oversold security scores at 30 or below.

When an RSI chart is paired along with a stock's price chart, identifiable patterns often begin to emerge in the data.

How to Read RSI

Let's take a look at the RSI chart for Microsoft Corp. covering the period beginning on September 20, 2021 and ending on June 9, 2022.

RSI Indicator: Meaning & Calculation (2)

The chart tells us that the stock spent part of October 2021 in overbought territory and entered that territory again briefly in February 2022. MSFT was in oversold territory or was undervalued, in December 2021.

It is when a stock's RSI chart is displayed alongside its price chart, and the two share the same timeline running along their x-axis, that powerful patterns begin to appear. These patterns display a security's momentum against its price.

RSI Indicator: Meaning & Calculation (3)

How the RSI Is Calculated

The data points on an RSI chart are calculated by using the following two formulas:

RSI Indicator: Meaning & Calculation (4)

RS = Average Gain / Average Loss

RSI = 100 - (100 / (1+RS))

  • To calculate the RSI, we must first calculate the Relative Strength, or RS, which is equal to the Average Gain divided by the Average Loss.
  • To determine the Average Gain, we must first calculate the Initial Average Gain, and we do that by summing all the price gains that have occurred over the last 14 days; 14 is the number of periods recommended by Wilder, and we divide that number by 14.
  • We calculate the Initial Average Loss by summing all the price losses over the last 14 days and then dividing by 14; loss is always a positive number because it reflects a quantity.

Initial Average Gain = Sum of Gains over the past 14 days / 14

Initial Average Loss = Sum of Losses over the past 14 days / 14

  • For each subsequent day's gain, we calculate the Average Gain and the Average Loss by using these two formulas:

Avg. Gain = [(Previous Avg. Gain * 13) + Current Day's Gain] / 14

Avg. Loss = [(Previous Avg. Loss * 13) + Current Day's Loss] / 14

  • If the Average Gain equals zero, it means that prices moved lower during all 14 periods, and the RSI will also be equal to zero.
  • If the Average Loss equals zero, that means that prices moved higher during all 14 periods, and the RSI will equal 100 by definition, bypassing the mathematical problem of division by zero.
  • This calculation technique smooths the values and each value becomes more accurate as the number of periods increases.
  • The RSI will increase if the number of positive closes increases and if the magnitude of those closes increases.
  • The RSI will decrease if the number of negative closes increases and if the magnitude of those closes decreases.

RSI Calculation Example

Let's assume that over the last 14 days a stock closed higher on seven days, with an average gain of 2%, and that the stock closed lower on seven days with an average loss is 1%. Plugging those figures into the two formulas, we get:

RS = 0.02 / .01 = 2

RSI = 100 - 100 / (1 + 2) = 66.67

If we plot that data point into an RSI chart, we can see that the stock in this example is close to overbought territory.

What The RSI Tells Investors

In general, a relative strength index tells investors that:

  • A reading below 30 is viewed as a bullish indicator.
  • A reading above 70 is viewed as a bearish indicator.
  • A reading of 80 and above is a strong indicator of an overbought condition.
  • A reading of 20 and below is a strong indicator of an oversold condition.
  • Overbought assets may be ready for a correction or a trend reversal.
  • Oversold assets may be ready for price breakouts.
  • There are identifiable points where an investor can enter a position.

Important: Technical analysis patterns represent past price movement only. Using past price movement to predict future price movement involves a high level of risk. This article does not recommend that investors make decisions on technical analysis alone. It's simply one tool that investors can use to make more informed investment decisions.

Bullish RSI Divergence

Divergences occur when the RSI moves in a direction opposite to that of prices and they can be identified by comparing the two charts.

A bullish divergence occurs when:

  • On the price chart, prices fall to lower lows, identified by a downward sloping line connecting the lows.
  • On the RSI chart, lows move higher, identified by an upward sloping line connecting the lows.

Together, these two conditions indicate rising bullish momentum.

Bearish RSI Divergence

A bearish divergence occurs when:

  • On the price chart, highs move higher identified by an upward sloping line connecting the highs.
  • On the RSI chart, highs move lower, identified by a downward sloping line connecting the highs.

Together, these two conditions indicate rising bearish momentum.

MACD vs. RSI

MACD stands for moving average convergence divergence and it is a measure of the strength of a stock's price movements. It does this by comparing the divergence of two EMAs, or exponential moving averages, one a 12-period, and one a 26-period. Traders can then compare the scope of recent price changes with the scope of those that took place earlier.

By comparison, RSI is a measure of the strength of a stock's momentum, either in the upward or the downward direction, and it identifies either overbought or oversold conditions.

Pros & Cons of Using the RSI

Pros

  • The RSI is a useful reflection of the speed at which the price of a security is being bid up or down.
  • The calculations behind RSI are relatively simple.

Cons

  • Because the RSI is measuring momentum, it can remain in either overbought or oversold territory despite trend reversals beginning to take shape.
  • While RSI readings below 30 might generate a "buy signal", the asset's downward trend might continue for a long time before it reverses course.
  • Trading on technical indicators like RSI is not foolproof, and RSIs that seem stretched can always stretch further.

Bottom Line

Because it measures the speed and size of an asset's momentum, changes in the RSI along with changes in the price chart can be a powerful indicator of trend reversals. However, it isn't able to tell investors exactly when those reversals will take place and what those price changes will be.

Together with the MACD, the RSI is another useful tool in an investor's toolbox.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

As an expert in financial analysis and investment strategies, I possess in-depth knowledge and practical experience in utilizing technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to evaluate securities. I've worked extensively in financial markets, studying various technical analysis tools and their applications in predicting market trends and potential reversals. My expertise in this area is bolstered by years of active involvement in analyzing stock movements, conducting research, and applying these indicators to make informed investment decisions.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a pivotal technical indicator that measures the momentum of a security by analyzing its closing prices within a specific timeframe, usually 14 days. This indicator, introduced by J. Welles Wilder Jr., depicts an oscillator graph with boundaries between 0 and 100. RSI values above 70 typically indicate overbought conditions, signaling a potential trend reversal to the downside. Conversely, RSI values below 30 often suggest oversold conditions, possibly signaling an upcoming trend reversal to the upside.

The RSI calculation involves establishing the Relative Strength (RS) as the ratio of average gains to average losses over a specified period. The RSI value, computed using a formula that considers the RS, signifies the strength of a stock's momentum. It's crucial to understand that RSI is a tool used to identify potential entry or exit points based on overbought or oversold conditions. It's not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other indicators and comprehensive analysis.

Reading an RSI chart alongside a stock's price chart reveals patterns that reflect a security's momentum against its price movement. Divergences in RSI compared to price movements can indicate potential shifts in bullish or bearish momentum. Additionally, understanding the differences and similarities between RSI and other indicators like MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is essential for a comprehensive technical analysis approach.

While RSI provides valuable insights into market conditions, it's crucial to note that relying solely on technical indicators involves risks. It's imperative to integrate fundamental analysis and other indicators while considering market conditions and risk management strategies.

In conclusion, my expertise in financial analysis and market trends allows me to confidently explain the concepts behind the Relative Strength Index (RSI), its calculations, interpretations, and the importance of using it as part of a comprehensive investment strategy. Understanding these technical indicators assists investors in making more informed decisions, but prudent risk management and comprehensive analysis are essential for successful investing.

RSI Indicator: Meaning & Calculation (2024)
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