India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (2024)

After conceding its position as the fastest growing major economy to China for a year in 2017, India is likely to reclaim the position in 2018, with growth expected to accelerate to 7.3% in the year, according to the World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects report released on Wednesday.

The report projected China’s economic growth to slow to 6.4% in 2018 from 6.8% in 2017. The World Bank also revised India’s growth estimate for 2017 to 6.7% from 7% projected in October, blaming short-term disruptions caused by the newly introduced goods and services tax (GST) and a softer-than-envisioned recovery in private investment.

To be sure, the estimates are on a different fiscal year basis for each country. India’s fiscal year runs from April to March. China follows a January-December fiscal year.

The global economy, meanwhile, is experiencing a broad-based cyclical upturn, which is expected to be sustained over the next couple of years, although downside risks persist, the World Bank said.

“In contrast, growth in potential output is flagging, languishing below its longer-term and pre-crisis average both globally and among emerging market and developing economies. The forces depressing potential output growth will continue unless countered by structural policies," it cautioned.

Global growth is projected to edge up to 3.1% in 2018, as growth in advanced economies is projected to slow while growth in emerging economies is expected to accelerate.

India’s statistics office on Friday projected the economy to slow to 6.5% in 2017-18 from 7.1% a year ago. The economy has been hurt by the lingering impact of demonetization and disruptions caused by GST.

Moody’s Investors Service in a report released on Wednesday said India and China remain the fastest growth economies in the Asia-Pacific region.

“A gradual moderation in growth in China and temporary slowdown in India will be balanced by robust growth trends in other Asian economies," it added.

Economic affairs secretary Subhash Chandra Garg tweeted: “World Bank releases its GDP growth estimates. India projected to grow at 6.7% in 2017. Higher growth of 7.3% projected for 2018. Impressive advance corporate tax payments in 3rd quarter indicates India’s growth turnaround to be much better."

Direct tax collections grew by more than 18% in the first nine months (April-December) of the fiscal year 2017-18 to two-thirds of the full-year target, which is expected to provide a breather to the government as it struggles to contain the fiscal deficit.

“In all likelihood, India is going to register higher growth rate than other major emerging market economies in the next decade. So, I wouldn’t focus on the short-term numbers. I would look at the big picture for India and big picture is telling us that it has enormous potential," Ayhan Kose, director, development prospects group, World Bank, told PTI in an interview.

The World Bank said strong private consumption and services are expected to continue to support economic activity. “Private investment is expected to revive as the corporate sector adjusts to the GST; infrastructure spending increases, partly to improve public services and internet connectivity; and private sector balance sheet weaknesses are mitigated with the help of the efforts of the government and the Reserve Bank of India," it said.

Over the medium term, GST is expected to benefit economic activity and fiscal sustainability by reducing the cost of complying with multiple state tax systems, drawing informal activity into the formal sector, and expanding the tax base. it said. “The recent recapitalization package for public sector banks announced by the government of India is expected to help resolve banking sector balance sheets, support credit to the private sector, and lift investment. The global trade recovery is expected to lift exports," it added.

The Bank said key risks to India are domestic in nature such as setbacks to reforms to resolve corporate and financial sector balance sheet deterioration and debt write-offs for farmers.

“Corporate debt overhangs and high levels of non-performing loans have been long-standing concerns in some countries (e.g. Bangladesh, India). Setbacks in efforts to resolve these domestic bottlenecks would continue to weigh on investment, and more broadly on medium-term growth prospects in the region," it added.

“Weak private investment was only partly mitigated by a public infrastructure investment push and a surge in current expenditures after recent public pay hikes," the report said.

Unlock a world of Benefits! From insightful newsletters to real-time stock tracking, breaking news and a personalized newsfeed – it's all here, just a click away! Login Now!

Related Premium Stories

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (1)

Electoral bonds: The curious case of Madanlal Ltd’s donations

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (2)

History of Lok Sabha polls in numbers: More women in fray, fewer independent MPs

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (3)

Mint Explainer: What’s behind Maldives’ new defence pact with China

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (4)

Mint Explainer: What’s at stake during America’s Super Tuesday primary polls

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (5)

Mint Explainer: How Indian volunteers ended up fighting for Russia

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (6)

Indian politics is becoming increasingly partisan. We have the data to prove it.

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (7)

The onion peel that promises a sugar high

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (8)

A decade of flip-flops on farmers’ issues despite full-majority government

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (9)

‘Revdi’ or genuine welfare? India gives its verdict

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (10)

Mint Explainer: Loss-making firms' political donations in focus post SC ruling

Explore Premium

Catch all the Politics News and Updates on Live Mint. Download The Mint News App to get Daily Market Updates & Live Business News.

MoreLess

Published: 10 Jan 2018, 11:34 AM IST

India to be fastest growing economy again in 2018: World Bank (2024)

FAQs

What is the World Bank report on India's growth? ›

“In India, output growth is projected to reach 7.5 percent in FY2023/24 on the back of robust growth in Q3 of FY2023/24. Growth is expected to moderate to 6.6 percent in FY2024/25 before picking up in subsequent years as a decade of robust public investment yields growth dividends,” the bank said.

What is the economic growth rate of India according to the World Bank? ›

The "rate of economic growth" refers to the geometric annual rate of growth in GDP between the first and the last year over a period of time. This growth rate represents the trend in the average level of GDP over the period, and ignores any fluctuations in the GDP around this trend.

What is the economic status of India in the world? ›

According to the World GDP Ranking 2024 list, India is the fifth largest economy in the world. Other prominent countries like the United States of America, China, Japan, Germany, etc., have a significant presence in this GDP Ranking list.

What is India's rank in the world economy? ›

List of Top 10 Largest Economies in the World in 2024:-
RankCountryGDP (Trillions USD)
1United States$23.0
2China$16.9
3Japan$5.4
4India$4.8
6 more rows
Apr 4, 2024

What did the World Bank do in India? ›

The World Bank Group's (WBG) over seven decade-long partnership with India is strong and enduring. Since the first loan to Indian Railways in 1949, the WBG's financing, analytical work, and advisory services have contributed to the country's development.

Is India a developing country by World Bank? ›

That's about to change, with the World Bank switching to more precise, though unvarnished, descriptions of economies. And India — which till now found a place under the common umbrella with other 'developing' countries —will now be called 'lower-middle income country/South Asia'.

Where does India make its money? ›

Other parts of India's service industry include electricity production and tourism. The country is largely dependent on fossil fuels oil, gas, and coal but it is increasingly adding capacity to produce hydroelectricity, wind, solar, and nuclear power. Medical tourism to India is also a growing sector.

What is the income level of India? ›

India's per capita net national income (at current prices) for 2022-23 stands at INR 172,000, according to estimates from the National Statistical Office (NSO).

Is India a low-income country? ›

However, low-income and lower-middle-income countries, faced with competing priorities, find themselves struggling to muster enough resources to steer towards this goal at the desired pace. India is the largest lower-middle-income country, accounting for almost 18% of the world's population.

What is the fastest growing country in the world? ›

This year, excluding one-off rebounds from previous double-digit downturns (Macao or Maldives welcoming back tourists after Covid, for example), Guyana is set to maintain its status as the world's fastest-expanding economy for the fifth year in a row, with a GDP growth rate of almost 34%.

Which sector is growing fast in India? ›

One of the fastest growing sectors in India is the electric vehicle (EV) market. The transition to electric mobility is gaining momentum globally, and India is no exception. The Indian government has set ambitious targets and implemented various incentives to promote the adoption of electric vehicles.

How is India viewed by the world? ›

A median of 46% say they have a favorable view of India, compared with a median of 34% with an unfavorable view. Substantial shares in some countries also do not share an opinion (16% median). Views of India are most positive in Israel, where 71% say they have a favorable view of the country.

When was India the richest country in the world? ›

Between 1st and 17th centuries AD, India is estimated to have had the largest economy of the ancient and medieval world, controlling between one third and one fourth of the world's wealth. During the Mughal period (1526–1858 AD) India experienced unprecedeneted prosperity in history.

What are the biggest industries in India? ›

Which are the major industries in the Indian Economy? Answer: The major industries in the Indian Economy are Iron & Steel, Textiles, Jute, Sugar, Cement, Paper, Petrochemical, Automobile, Information Technology (IT), and Banking & Insurance.

Which country has the best economy in the world? ›

The United States is the undisputed heavyweight when it comes to the economies of the world. America's gross domestic product in 2022 was more than 40% greater than that of China, the world No. 2. Even more striking, U.S. GDP was over five times that of the next two largest economies, Japan and Germany.

What is the IMF report on India? ›

Synopsis. The IMF recently revised India's growth forecast upward to 6.8% from 6.5% projected in its January forecast. The fund also revised India's FY24 growth outlook upward to 7.8%, higher than the government's projection of 7.6%.

How strong is India's economy? ›

India, the world's fastest-growing big country, is expanding at an annual rate of 6-7%. New data show private-sector confidence at its highest since 2010. Already the fifth-largest economy, it may rank third by 2027, after America and China. India's clout is showing up in new ways.

What is the industry growth rate in India? ›

The growth rate of eight core sectors in India increased by a 15-month low of 3.6 per cent in January on an annual basis, the Ministry of Commerce & Industry said on Thursday. The index had grown by 4.9 per cent in December 2023 and 9.7 per cent in January 2023.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Zonia Mosciski DO

Last Updated:

Views: 6200

Rating: 4 / 5 (71 voted)

Reviews: 86% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Zonia Mosciski DO

Birthday: 1996-05-16

Address: Suite 228 919 Deana Ford, Lake Meridithberg, NE 60017-4257

Phone: +2613987384138

Job: Chief Retail Officer

Hobby: Tai chi, Dowsing, Poi, Letterboxing, Watching movies, Video gaming, Singing

Introduction: My name is Zonia Mosciski DO, I am a enchanting, joyous, lovely, successful, hilarious, tender, outstanding person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.