I DEY VEX O- NAIRA EXCHANGE RATE IS NOT SMILING (2024)

I wanted to make payment for an examination and what did i get? an exchange of NGN310 to 1USD WT* !

But then i came across this well thought out article by;KENNETH EZAGA and i couldn’t resist. It makes a lot of sense. But then again i gats to pay for my exam.

Just read the article. It seem long but its not boring.

I DEY VEX O- NAIRA EXCHANGE RATE IS NOT SMILING (1)

It is either I do not understand economics and how exchange rates work or a vast majority of us Nigerians still don’t get how we have wrecked our country with our own curious choices. Just this morning I was listening to the radio and the lady on air went on and on about how she thought CBN governor Godwin Emefiele was incompetent and should be sacked because the naira was now exchanging at 309 or so to the USD. That view pretty much echoes the sentiments expressed by many people I know and it amazes me that there are Nigerians who actually think there is some magic POLICY that can make the naira strong in the near term. If my economics and my understanding of the way the world works are right, then that is as far from the truth as Jesus Christ is black.

The simple fact of the matter is that apart from oil that accounts for over 90% of our revenues, we really don’t have much of an economy. We hardly produce anything, we import even toothpicks, so exactly what policy is going to be implemented that will turn Nigeria into a top exporting economy in the near term? Where are our Apples, IBMs, Disneys, GMs, General Electrics, Coca Colas, Empire State buildings, Statues of Liberties, Lockheeds, Citibanks, JP Morgans, ExxonMobils, NBAs, Super Bowls etc?

Let me bring that closer home. There was a time long ago when Nigeria had a truly strong economy and the naira was one to the dollar – even exchanged for higher than the USD, but that Nigeria is not this Nigeria. Sadly that Nigeria was laid by the British, and this Nigeria (if you don’t believe in the nonsensical imperialist conspiracies like me) – fueled by the DAMAGING Indigenisation Decree, has been the creation of us Nigerians. Back then we had a booming economy. We were either the top, or among the top exporters, of timber, cocoa, groundnuts, rubber, palm oil, etc, in the world. Nigerians not only holidayed at home in their villages, at Yankari Games Reserve, at Obudu Cattle Ranch, at Oguta Lake, at Ikogosi springs, at Gurara Falls, at Mambilla Platueau, etc, we attracted international tourists who brought in loads of foreign exchange. Even Nigerian schools were foreign exchange earners because they attracted foreign students. We had different car assembly plants – Peugeot, Volkswagen, Anamco etc. Nigerian government officials only bought vehicles assembled in Nigeria for official cars. We had a thriving sports industry. We were not Man United or Chelsea fans, we were Rangers or IICC fans. We had the Nduka Odizors, people made money from sports. We also had companies like Lennards and Bata producing school shoes in their thousands, we had the thriving Nigerian Airways and the Aviation School in the north that produced some of the best pilots in the world. In those days if you were brilliant you were respected much more than the crass money-miss-road contractors of today. Most of the Aje Butters I knew had fathers who were university dons. Back then it meant something to ‘know book’. Our textile industry was alive and well. Just recently I watched a news report on the textile industry in Nigeria on CCTV News. Though the main focus was on the comatose status of the industry, I was stunned by the gigantic Kaduna Textile Mill built in 1957. I could go on and on.

Today however, no thanks to our parents (and we must call them out the way Wole Soyinka did his generation) and many of us (and we should be remembered for failing our children if we continue like this), we have destroyed everything. Today for instance Nigerian football (which comes easy to me obviously) doesn’t appeal to us, we have to fly across thousands of miles to watch ‘our’ clubs play. Every year we collectively burn billions of naira being fans of clubs that give us nothing back, but some ‘entertainment value’ – simple pleasures for which we are ready to destroy the future of our children. Well people, payback time is here. Even with our ta-she-re money we all want to wear designer clothes and carry designer bags, Armani, Givenchy, Louis Vuitton etc. We all want to drive jeeps with American specs, our children must now school overseas and acquire the necessary accents to come back home and bamboozle their ‘bush and crass’ contemporaries that they left behind. Who holidays in Nigeria anymore, is there Disneyland here? No one buys made-in-Nigeria school bags for their children, after all no Superman or Incredible Hulk or Cinderella on them. We are no longer top exporters of anything and the demise of oil means we have zilch… zero. A country of 170m fashion-conscious people has no textile industry. We take delight in showing how our made-in-Switzerland Aso Ebi is different class to everyone else’s. When we help our musicians grow and pay them millions, they repay us by immediately shipping the monies overseas to produce their “i-don-dey-different-level”music videos. It makes no difference that distinctly Zulu dancers are dancing to a Nigerian highlife song. As stars concerned they also wed and holiday overseas to impress us all. All the musicians who acknowledge their Ajegunle roots now speak in a co*cktail of strange accents to symbolise how much they have blown their monies overseas.

Were we a more serious people, the highly popular Kingsway Stores of the past would probably have a thousand outlets pan Nigeria today supporting a massive agriculture industry among others, but today we have the likes of SPAR, Shoprite, dominating the retail industry while Kingsway is dead. And we Nigerians make it a special point to shop from the Oyibos who have ‘cleaner shops’, ‘better this and better that’. For our personal pleasure we don’t mind them dominating us in our own backyard and shipping proceeds overseas.

I could go on and on, but I don tire. Even as you are reading this, stop for a moment and look around you. What you see will probably explain why we are lucky it is not N1000 to the USD yet. And don’t think for a moment that it cannot get there. Just continue to wear your Armani gear and Swiss-made lace, continue to spend your money on Man United, Arsenal, Chelsea and Barca and encourage your children to do same. (My article in This Day tomorrow is on the Nigerian champions Enyimba FC – Nigeria’s most successful club – not having a sponsor, yet Nigerian brands pay over N600m to Man United and Arsenal for sponsorship to impress us.) Ehhh, no problem, continue to tell me the NPFL is rubbish or the clubs should clean up their act if they want sponsorship, mo gbo. Don’t curtail your interest in choice wines ( we were the number one champagne consumers in the world in 2015), continue to love your American specs, cheer the education ministry for letting schools sink to pitiable levels, don’t fight them to improve our schools, don’t chide them for letting schools drop Nigerian history and embrace British, American and whatever else curricula. Carry on with your love of French wines and Chinese silk, don’t bother about Jamiu Alli when there is Roger Federer. Stock up on your Italian, American, British products which you cannot live without, including the ‘baby soft’ toilet rolls produced only in that small unique village in England – the days are long gone since you were a broke student who used wet newspapers to wipe your butt. Don’t even consider holidaying in Nigeria, it’s too dangerous – you have to fulfill your dream of being Nigeria’s Henry Ford. Don’t listen to people like me who have a wardrobe full of only cheap adire that is actually cheaper than just one of your Tom Ford blazers. Please keep dressing in fine silk made in some exotic place so you can be addressed accordingly. Finally keep letting corrupt leaders who have looted your commonwealth and shipped all the monies overseas get away because to attack them does not fit your political narrative. Let us continue with the fine life, let us all continue to work for Oyibo.

But don’t forget that there is payback time and Emefiele is not your problem. Time for us all to look in the mirror

By:KENNETH EZAGA

I DEY VEX O- NAIRA EXCHANGE RATE IS NOT SMILING (2024)

FAQs

Why is naira crashing against dollar? ›

The increasing scarcity of the dollar and its growing demand in Nigeria are at the root of the collapse of the naira.

What is the exchange rate of naira to dollar in Nigeria today? ›

1 NGN = 0.000771 USD Apr 21, 2024 05:39 UTC

The currency converter below is easy to use and the currency rates are updated frequently.

Why is Nigerian Naira falling? ›

Why naira is plummeting. Under the previous leadership of the Central Bank of Nigeria, policymakers tightly controlled the rate of the naira against the dollar, thereby forcing individuals and businesses in need of dollars to head to the black market, where the currency was trading at a much lower rate.

Will the dollar fall against naira in 2024? ›

Goldman economists, who predicted in February that the naira would strengthen to 1,200 per dollar during 2024, now see it potentially advancing beyond that level after a raft of measures by the central bank.

Which currency collapse in Nigeria? ›

Nigeria battles to halt spiraling currency crisis and rising food insecurity. Inflation hit an annual 29.9% in January, driven by soaring food prices that have triggered a cost-of-living crisis in Africa's largest economy, while the currency plunged to an all-time low last month.

What's going on with the naira? ›

The currency was devalued in June 2023 and again in January 2024 as part of a successful effort to unify the official and unofficial exchange rates. While the naira has lost more than 60% of its value against the dollar since Tinubu took office, it has been the world's best performer since the beginning of March.

How much is $100 in Naira right now? ›

Download Our Currency Converter App
Conversion rates US Dollar / Nigerian Naira
50 USD61,811.50000 NGN
100 USD123,623.00000 NGN
250 USD309,057.50000 NGN
500 USD618,115.00000 NGN
8 more rows

How much is 1000 dollar to Naira right now? ›

1,237,110.00000 NGN

How much is 1 Naira to 1 dollar? ›

0.00081 USD

Will naira gain value? ›

We largely agree with the CBN's assessment and see further currency upside, with our FX strategists forecasting an appreciation to 1200 naira versus the dollar within the next 12 months,” Goldman analysts Andrew Matheny and Bojosi Morule wrote in a research note.

How weak is the naira? ›

Naira, Angola's kwanza worst performing currencies in Africa, says World Bank. The World Bank has described the naira and the kwanza of Angola as the “worst performing currencies” in Africa so far in 2023. The organisation said both currencies have depreciated by nearly 40 percent.

Why is naira so cheap? ›

The naira has been sapped by a local scarcity of dollars and an outstanding backlog of demand for the US currency that the central bank has been steadily trying to work down.

How much is 1 dollar in Nigeria in 2024? ›

1 USD = 1,254.03 NGN Apr 25, 2024 06:14 UTC.

What is the prediction for the naira in 2024? ›

Razia Khan, chief economist for Africa and the Middle East at Standard Chartered, sees the naira ending 2024 in a 1,200-1,300 per dollar range.

How much is the dollar to naira in 2024? ›

Weighted Average Rate - Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM)
DateCurrencyBuying(NGN)
4/22/2024US DOLLAR1251.087
4/22/2024POUNDS STERLING1541.089
4/22/2024EURO1331.2817
4/22/2024SWISS FRANC1371.8059
7 more rows

Why is Nigeria's economy bad? ›

Alongside soaring inflation and a plunging currency, Nigeria is also battling record levels of government debt, high unemployment, power shortages and declining oil production — its main export. These economic pressures are compounded by violence and insecurity in many rural areas.

What is causing inflation in Nigeria? ›

Currency depreciation has increased import costs. Nigeria is an import-dependent economy, and Nigerian importers are purchasing goods at prices that are already very high abroad. The costs of these goods have also gone up because of higher tariffs caused by the depreciation of the naira.

What is the outlook for the dollar to naira? ›

The USD to NGN exchange rate is forecasted to decrease by -0.09% in the next 24 hours, dropping from the current rate of ₦ 1,147.53 to ₦ 1,146.52. Currently, the sentiment in the USD/NGN market is estimated to be bullish. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice.

Why is naira worth so little? ›

Inflation is close to a three-decade high, largely driven by the naira depreciation and higher gasoline prices. The currency has been devalued twice since June 2023 as part of an effort to unify the official and unofficial exchange rates.

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