As Stick Shifts Fade Into Obscurity, Collectors See Opportunity (Published 2021) (2024)

Business|As Stick Shifts Fade Into Obscurity, Collectors See Opportunity

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/24/business/stick-shift-collector-cars.html

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Cars with manual transmissions, even late models, are holding their value as the collector market hunts for rarity.

As Stick Shifts Fade Into Obscurity, Collectors See Opportunity (Published 2021) (1)

By Rob Sass

They’re not extinct yet, but the end is coming for stick-shift cars.

For the 1980 model year, 35 percent of cars produced for sale in the United States had manual transmissions, according to the Environmental Protection Agency. Today, the share is about 1 percent. And just 18 percent of American drivers can drive a stick, according to U.S. News and World Report.

This relative scarcity has collectors and enthusiasts salivating. They are pushing up the values of late-model sports cars with a clutch pedal and, in the process, creating a new class of collectible cars.

At the rate the stick shift is disappearing, it might join the automotive fossil record even before the internal combustion engine. In fact, in 2019, sales of electric vehicles surpassed the sale of manual transmission cars. Because of the torque delivery of their motors, E.V.s have no need for heavy, complicated six- or seven-speed gearboxes, whether automatic or manual.

The tipping point, however, was actually the introduction of quick-shifting, hyper-efficient dual-clutch automatic transmissions a little over a decade ago, causing trendsetting sports car manufacturers to all but give up on the clutch pedal. Before that, a manual transmission was de rigueur in any serious performance car.

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For Ferrari, the manual transmission had the significance of religious iconography. The company’s distinctive “gated” shifters — which lacked a cover to hide what slot or gear the lever was in — were both tricky to master and beautiful to look at.

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As Stick Shifts Fade Into Obscurity, Collectors See Opportunity (Published 2021) (2024)

FAQs

What percentage of Americans can drive stick shift? ›

For the 1980 model year, 35 percent of cars produced for sale in the United States had manual transmissions, according to the Environmental Protection Agency. Today, the share is about 1 percent. And just 18 percent of American drivers can drive a stick, according to U.S. News and World Report.

Will manual transmissions make a comeback? ›

I can't believe I'm writing this, but the manual transmission is making a comeback. The data are admittedly thin, but according to J.D. Power, 1.7 percent of car buyers this year opted for a manual transmission, compared to 0.9 percent in 2021 and 1.2 percent in 2022.

What percentage of cars in the US have a manual transmission? ›

Manual sales made up less than a percent of cars sold in the US in 2021, but last year, that number was around 1.7 percent. Not a lot, but not nothing. Many automakers have expanded their manual offerings, too, perhaps most notably Toyota bringing a manual to the Supra for the 2023 model year.

Do manual cars hold their value? ›

For the majority of cars and trucks made in the last twenty years, the answer is definitely YES… vehicles with automatics hold their value better than those with shift transmissions. However, there are a few exceptions and virtually all of them will be OLD vehicles.

What percent of Gen Z can drive manually? ›

Regarding consumers' knowledge of how to drive a manual, nearly half of all Gen Z (49%) and 42% of all women indicated they did not know how to drive a car with a manual transmission. When asked if they were willing to learn, more than half of all respondents (53%) indicated they are interested in learning.

Why are manual transmissions going away? ›

Why have manual transmissions downshifted so much in popularity? Less Demand According to CNBC and Edmunds, auto manufacturers have reported that the consumer demand for annual transmission options in new vehicles has declined. Resources are not being allocated to make new cars with a 5- or 6-speed manual option.

Will manual transmission become obsolete? ›

Are manual cars going away? In short, yes. There's no set ban on manual transmission itself, but there is a ban coming into place in 2035 on all petrol and diesel cars. That, by default, rules out manual cars, as all electric cars are automatic.

What is the life expectancy of a manual transmission? ›

How Long Does Your Transmission Last?
Transmission Quick Facts
Transmission Lifespan Without Maintenance100,000 miles or less
Transmission Lifespan with Proper Maintenance300,000 miles or more
When to Change Automatic Transmission FluidEvery 30,000 miles
When to Change Manual Transmission FluidEvery 30,000 to 60,000 miles

Is stick shift becoming obsolete? ›

In 2017, the overall manual take rate fell to 78 percent of new cars, and it's plunged since then. In 2022 it was down to 34 percent, and through the first half of this year, we're sitting at 32 percent. There are several reasons for this. Drivers are more aware of the advantages and ease of an automatic.

Which state drives the most manual cars? ›

New Mexico has the highest rate of manual transmission vehicle purchases at 5.65 percent, followed by Idaho (5.29 percent), Rhode Island (5.16 percent) and Utah (4.94 percent). Residents of Illinois are the least likely to purchase a stick shift, with a take rate of only 2.04 percent.

How many Americans can't drive a manual? ›

Only around 18% of American drivers can handle a manual transmission, according to U.S. News and World Report. You know: the clutch pedal and the stick shift—three on the tree, four on the floor or, I don't know, five to drive maybe. Different gears, manually engaged.

Why do people prefer manual over automatic? ›

Manual car pros

The vehicle is more engaging for the driver. The driver has full control over gears and when to shift. It's usually less expensive than an automatic-equipped vehicle. The transmission often costs less to repair.

What color car holds value best? ›

The top five car colors with the best resale value
  • Yellow (13.5% value lost over three years)
  • Orange (18.4% value lost over three years)
  • Red (20.6% value lost over three years)
  • White (21.9% value lost over three years)
  • Blue (22.0% value lost over three years)
  • Gray (22.5% value lost over three years)

Is insurance higher on manual cars? ›

The cost of insuring your vehicle is comprised of several factors. Looking strictly at manual vs. automatic insurance coverage, a manual vehicle may be cheaper due to its lower repair costs, but the difference between auto insurance premiums is likely insignificant.

Why would anyone buy a manual car? ›

One of the biggest benefits of driving a manual car is more engagement with the driving experience. When you drive a manual transmission vehicle, you need to make more decisions about driving based on road conditions, speed, road incline, and more.

What percentage drives manual? ›

In 2017, the overall manual take rate fell to 78 percent of new cars, and it's plunged since then. In 2022 it was down to 34 percent, and through the first half of this year, we're sitting at 32 percent. There are several reasons for this. Drivers are more aware of the advantages and ease of an automatic.

Why don t Americans drive stick shift? ›

The Ease of Driving

Generally, Americans prefer things that are convenient and easy to use. Driving is no different. From the get-go, it's easier to learn how to drive a car with an automatic transmission.

Do people drive stick shift anymore? ›

However, in America now, about 95 percent of new cars have automatic transmissions instead, making it no longer necessary to know how to coordinate clutch, gas, and gearshift maneuvers. Because of this, few Americans can drive a stick shift anymore.

Why would anyone drive stick shift? ›

What are the benefits of driving a stick shift car? One of the biggest benefits of driving a manual car is more engagement with the driving experience. When you drive a manual transmission vehicle, you need to make more decisions about driving based on road conditions, speed, road incline, and more.

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