Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (2024)

Monday, March 18th, 2024

Off session highs which came in the earlier morning trading hours, market indices closed mostly in the green today: the Dow finished +75 points, +0.20%, while the Nasdaq grew +130 points, +0.82%, and the S&P 500 splitting the difference, +0.63%. Only the small-cap Russell 2000 was down today, -0.60% — it’s fifth down-day in the past seven trading sessions. The Russell is now less than 1% positive year to date; compare that with the Nasdaq, which is up +9%.

NVIDIA NVDA CEO and co-founder Jensen Huang has just now take the stage at this year’s GTC conference, delivering the keynote address in his fresh leather motorcycle jacket. Without getting many details of the speech, Huang is describing new partnerships and/or associations with Ansys ANSS, Synopsis SNPS and Cadence Design Systems CDNS; all three A.I. design companies are up in late trading, by +3.4%, +2.2% and +3%, respectively.

Earlier today, we saw the release of the latest confidence survey from the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) for February, which came in at 51 — the highest since July and the fourth-straight month higher. The 50 level, as with many industry indices, denotes growth from loss, and this is the first time we’ve been there since last summer. Mortgage rates averaging below 7% once again is likely a big part of homebuilder confidence, with the Northeast currently the strongest region at 59, followed by the West at 50 (the South and Midwest came in at 43 and 41, respectively).

Tomorrow morning we’ll see more housing data, with Housing Starts and Building Permits reports expected before the bell, also for February. Starts are expected to come in well ahead of the previous month’s lackluster 1.33 million to 1.45 million, while permits — a proxy for future starts — are expected to rise slightly, from 1.47 million reported a month ago to 1.5 million expected on Tuesday. Again, slightly lower mortgage rates look to be having a positive impact on the housing market, but we’ll wait until the data actually comes in before emphasizing this.

Finally, Tesla TSLA caught a bid today, +6% in the regular-trading session for its best trading day in more than a month. News that Tesla’s Y series of EVs will see price hikes across the board has given investors a reason to dive back into shares; Tesla stock is also -30% year to date, so there is still a ways to go yet. Tesla reports Q1 deliveries in a couple weeks; currently, analysts expect the company will have delivered just over 2 million EVs for the quarter.
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CompanySymbolPrice$Change%Change
QuickLogic CorporationQUIK19.141.538.69
Interface, Inc.TILE16.211.077.07
Macro Bank Inc.BMA45.632.134.90
The Gap, Inc.GPS24.691.104.66
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.HRTG8.530.323.90

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GoDaddy’s leading market position, strategic acquisitions, international expansion and a diversified product portfolio are positives.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (1)

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Canadian Solar has a strong pipeline of projects spread across the globe. Its strong financial position should attract investors to choose this stock

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (2)

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Inspire Medical’s strong global presence looks promising. Other factors like regulatory approvals and its focus on R&D also favor the company.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (3)

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Signet implemented significant cost-saving initiatives, leading to a notable improvement in its financial performance. The digital business is the key growth driver.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (4)

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Solid business model, increasing housing demand and focus on maximizing liquidity bode well.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (5)

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Palomar Holdings remains focused on higher premium growth. Improving combined ratio and higher investment income are tailwinds

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (7)

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Nokia is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for next-generation connectivity.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (8)

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Rising demand for the SWP, solid total asset balance, SEI Investments’ partnership interest in LSV, strategic buyouts and global presence will continue supporting growth in the quarters ahead.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (9)

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Amazon is benefiting from its Prime program, delivery and logistic system in the e-commerce space. Further, its dominant position in cloud market is a positive.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (10)

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Tepid sales projection, high costs & expenses, and federal government actions may mar the company’s prospects.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (11)

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G-III Apparel has been battling a challenging operating backdrop for a while now. Also, stiff competition in the industry remains a headwind.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (12)

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High financial leverage coupled with lower interest coverage ratio, lower investment income and escalating expenses are concerns

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (13)

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Lindsay is witnessing supply-chain constraints, most notably in electronics, which will continue to impact results. The recent decline in corn prices is also concerning.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (14)

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Softer comps, increasing costs and traffic concerns are potential headwinds for an industry.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (15)

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Elevated investments to support growth initiatives, including expansion of the business in international markets and the United States, are likely to limit Copart’s margins.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (16)

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Increased expenses, along with competition and weather-related woes, remain potent headwinds for Vail Resorts.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (17)

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Intense competition in the wholesale power markets, foreign currency fluctuation, cyber-based security risk and disruptions in the fuel delivery system might impede the company’s growth.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (18)

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Perrigo’s businesses continue to be impacted by pricing and other macro-economic pressures. Stiff competition remains a threat as well.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (19)

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Hanesbrands has been grappling with greater-than-anticipated challenges in the sales environment.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (20)

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Amazon is benefiting from its Prime program, delivery and logistic system in the e-commerce space. Further, its dominant position in cloud market is a positive.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (21)

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Google has shown good execution to date. Its dominant search market share is a positive. Its expanding cloud footprint and strengthening presence in the smart home market remain noteworthy.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (22)

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J&J's Innovative Medicines unit is performing at above-market levels. J&J is focusing on growing its MedTech unit through new products.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (23)

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Tesla’s energy generation and storage revenues are witnessing impressive growth. Strong balance sheet also augurs well.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (24)

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Cheddar's acquisition, various sales-boosting initiatives and cost-saving efforts undertaken by the company are expected to drive growth.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (25)

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Among all the independent refiners, Valero offers the most diversified refinery base.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (26)

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The company’s dominance in the China's e-commerce market, retail strength, and solid growth opportunities in international market are positives.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (27)

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Chesapeake’s operations expand across leading oil and gas resources in the United States

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (28)

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Align Technology’s robust product line, balanced growth across all channels and consistent focus on international markets to drive growth bolster our confidence in the stock.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (29)

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The enterprise refresh cycle, new subscription model, Azure and strength in Gaming segment will continue to generate sizeable cash flows.

Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (30)

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Get timely analysis that provides the reason behind the Zacks Rank for more than 4,400 stocks

Key Earnings Reports For Mar 19, 2024

Economic EventReported
(+) Treasury bills (3 mth) - Mar 19, 20244:15 PM Eastern Time
(+) Treasury notes (10 yr) - Mar 19, 20244:15 PM Eastern Time
(+) Federal Funds Rate - Mar 19, 20244:15 PM Eastern Time
(+) Housing Starts - Mar 19, 2024--
(+) Building Permits - Mar 19, 2024--
(+) Net Foreign Purchases - Mar 19, 2024--
Ahead of Wall Street - Daily Stock Market Outlook (2024)

FAQs

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

What is the expected return of the stock market in the next 10 years? ›

U.S. stock returns: 2023 optimism carries forward

This heightened optimism is on par with the positive outlook in December 2021, when investors anticipated a 6% stock market return for 2022. Investor expectations for stock returns over the long run (defined as the next 10 years) rose slightly to 7.2%.

How to predict stock market for next day? ›

After-hours trading commonly helps indicate the next day's open. Extended-hours trading in stocks takes place on electronic markets known as ECNs before the financial markets open for the day, as well as after they close. This activity can help investors predict the open market direction.

Where will S and P be in 5 years? ›

They point to the fact that the US economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in the coming years and that interest rates are likely to rise. As a result, they expect the S&P 500 to grow by an average of 5-7% per year over the next five years.

What are the stock market predictions for 2024? ›

As a whole, analysts are optimistic about the outlook for stock prices in 2024. The consensus analyst price target for the S&P 500 is 5,090, suggesting roughly 8.5% upside from current levels.

At what age should you get out of the stock market? ›

There are no set ages to get into or to get out of the stock market. While older clients may want to reduce their investing risk as they age, this doesn't necessarily mean they should be totally out of the stock market.

What is the stock market projection for 2025? ›

The S&P 500 still has 30% upside between now and the end of 2025, according to Capital Economics. "Our end-2025 forecast of 6,500 for the index is premised on its valuation reaching a similar level to its peak during the dot com mania," Capital Economics said.

Which stocks will double in 10 years? ›

9 Best Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years
  • DaVita Inc. ( ticker: DVA)
  • DraftKings Inc. ( DKNG)
  • Extra Space Storage Inc. ( EXR)
  • First Solar Inc. ( FSLR)
  • Gen Digital Inc. ( GEN)
  • Microsoft Corp. ( MSFT)
  • Nvidia Corp. ( NVDA)
  • SoFi Technologies Inc. ( SOFI)
Mar 27, 2024

What is the Vanguard prediction for 2024? ›

We expect monetary policy to become increasingly restrictive in real terms in 2024 as inflation falls and offsetting forces wane. The economy will experience a mild downturn as a result. This is necessary to finish the job of returning inflation to target. However, there are risks to this view.

What is the most accurate stock predictor? ›

Zacks Ultimate has proven itself as one of the most accurate stock predictors for more than three decades. Incepted in 1988, this established service has produced phenomenal returns for its members. In fact, since 1998, Zacks Ultimate has generated average annualized returns of 24.3%.

What is the cheapest day of the week to buy stocks? ›

Timing the stock market is difficult, but understanding when to trade stocks can help your portfolio. The best time of day to buy stocks is usually in the morning, shortly after the market opens. Mondays and Fridays tend to be good days to trade stocks, while the middle of the week is less volatile.

Can ChatGPT predict the stock market? ›

ChatGPT is trained with the help of a massive database of financial reports and statistics. As a result, it may investigate the interaction between the variables that affect stock prices. Later, based on this data, ChatGPT can formulate market direction predictions.

Where will the Dow be in 2025? ›

Long Forecast
YearOpen, $Close, $
December 20244537046983
December 20255647259561
January 20265956156446
December 20265316451981
5 more rows

What is the S&P 500 prediction for 2025? ›

The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says. The S&P 500 just flashed a bullish signal that suggests a 19% gain by August 2025, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the stock market's 12 consecutive months of positive year-over-year gains.

What is the lowest 10 year return on the stock market? ›

The worst 10 year annual return was a loss of almost 5% per year ending in the summer of 1939. That was bad enough for a 10 year total return of -40%.

Should I keep all my money in the stock market? ›

Saving is generally seen as preferable for investors with short-term financial goals, a low risk tolerance, or those in need of an emergency fund. Investing may be the best option for people who already have a rainy-day fund and are focused on longer-term financial goals or those who have a higher risk tolerance.

Should I hold cash right now? ›

As a rule of thumb, financial advisors generally recommend holding three- to six-months' worth of living expenses in a cash account that's easy to access. By keeping your emergency fund in cash, you avoid the risk of having to sell other assets you own, such as stocks, at a potential loss when something comes up.

Should I sell my stocks before a crash? ›

It's normal to feel pessimistic after a crash, but if you're investing for the long term, doing nothing is often the best course. It's important to remember that when you sell investments in a downturn, you lock in your losses.

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