30-year fixed mortgage rate forecast in the U.S. 2026 | Statista (2024)

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30-year fixed mortgage rate forecast in the U.S. 2026 | Statista? ›

From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

Long Forecast presents a scenario where mortgage rates embark on a downward trend starting in 2025, with a significant dip in January 2026. Their prediction suggests rates could plummet to 4.87%, a welcome relief for those facing the current market climate.

Prediction of Mortgage Rates for 2025

Here are some predictions for 2025 from key players and industry associations in the mortgage space: Fannie Mae: 6.1% Mortgage Bankers Association: 5.9% National Association of Home Builders: 6.01%

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.5% to 6.9% range throughout the rest of 2024, and NAR is predicting a similar trajectory. But Fannie Mae thinks rates could stay in the low 7% range this year.

Will mortgage rates come down in the next 5 years? Lord: “For the rest of 2023, I predict rates for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will average 7.3%, followed by 6.1% in 2024, 5.5% in 2025, 5% in 2026, 4.5% in 2027, and 4.5% in 2028.

On June 12, 2024, the US Federal Reserve released the June 2024 Fed dot plot, which showed a projected 2.25-point interest rate cut by yearend 2026. This would reduce the fed funds target rate range from 5.25%-5.50% today to 3.00%-3.25%.

If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates too quickly, it could spur inflation, erasing all the work the central bank has done to curb increasing prices over the past couple of years. So, any rate cuts in 2024 are likely to be minimal and unlikely to result in mortgage rates dropping to 3%.

If you feel like you've received the best rate possible and fear a rate increase, lock it in now. But if you're willing to gamble that the rate will drop in the coming days or weeks, lenders could let you wait and provide a lock-in at a later date.

What will mortgage rates be end of 2025? ›

'Lower interest rates would likely result in further modest declines in mortgage rates but how far depends on how low money markets see base rates falling. 'Economists currently expect base rates to fall to 3.5% by the end of 2025, which would imply mortgage rates remaining in and around the 4%+ range.

The median projection for the benchmark federal funds rate is 5.1% by the end of 2024, implying just over one quarter-point cut. Through 2025, the FOMC now expects five total cuts, down from six in March, which would leave the federal funds rate at 4.1% by the end of next year.

The market-implied path for base rate in May's Bank of England's Monetary Policy Report is that it will fall from 5.25 per cent to around 3.75 per cent by the end of 2026. It's worth pointing out that this forecast has risen by 0.7 percentage points on average, compared with the equivalent period in February's report.

Economists and housing market experts agree that mortgage rates will fall over the next several years, but not below 3%.

Last year, the White House projection for bill rates in 2030 was 2.4%. Such a level would be much higher than has been typical since the turn of the century. Three-month bill rates averaged around 1.5% over that period.

If you wanted to drop your interest rate by a full 1%, it may cost up to three to four discount points, (4 x 0.25%) or (3 x . 375) you'd likely end up paying 3–4% in fees of your total loan amount up front. down your rate to 6% from 7%) those three to four points would cost you $12,000 to $16,000 at closing.